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NEXT FIXED MATCHES 05.04.2025

DATE	MATCH	TIP	ODDS	RESULT
05.04.2025	??????? – ???????	?/? HT FT	??.??	?:?/?:?
05.04.2025	??????? – ???????	?/? HT FT	??.??	?:?/?:?

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LAST FIXED MATCHES 01.04.2025 TUESDAY

DATE	MATCH	TIP	ODDS	RESULT
01.04.2025	Dunkerque – PSG	1/2 HT FT	23.00	2:1/2:4 W
01.04.2025	Burton – Leyton Orient	2/1 HT FT	34.00	0:1/2:1 W

Total Odd: 782.00 | CONGRATULATIONS

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LAST FIXED MATCHES 29.03.2025 SATURDAY

DATE	MATCH	TIP	ODDS	RESULT
29.03.2025	FC Minsk – Vitebsk	2/1 HT FT	50.00	0:1/2:1 W
29.03.2025	Slaven Belupo – Rijeka	2/1 HT FT	41.00	0:1/2:1 W

Total Odd: 2050.00 | CONGRATULATIONS

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LAST FIXED MATCHES 22.03.2025 SATURDAY

DATE	MATCH	TIP	ODDS	RESULT
22.03.2025	Molde – Bodo/Glimt	1/2 HT FT	26.00	1:0/1:2 W
22.03.2025	Mirandes – Racing Santander	2/1 HT FT	26.00	0:1/2:1 W

Total Odd: 676.00 | CONGRATULATIONS

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LAST FIXED MATCHES 19.03.2025 WEDNESDAY

DATE	MATCH	TIP	ODDS	RESULT
19.03.2025	Araguaina – Capital FC	1/2 HT FT	36.00	1:0/1:2 W
19.03.2025	Bala Azul – Alcantarilla	2/X HT FT	27.00	0:1/1:1 W

Total Odd: 972.00 | CONGRATULATIONS

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LAST FIXED MATCHES 15.03.2025 SATURDAY

DATE	MATCH	TIP	ODDS	RESULT
15.03.2025	Needham Market – Chorley	2/1 HT FT	41.00	0:1/2:1 W
15.03.2025	Dugopolje – Rudes	1/2 HT FT	34.00	2:1/2:3 W

Total Odd: 1394.00 | CONGRATULATIONS

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NEXT FIXED VIP TICKET MATCHES 05.04.2025

DATE	MATCH	TIP	ODDS	RESULT
05.04.2025	??????? – ???????	?/? HT FT	??.??	?:?/?:?
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LAST VIP FIXED MATCHES 01.04.2025 TUESDAY

DATE	MATCH	TIP	ODDS	RESULT
01.04.2025	Swindon – AFC Wimbledon	X/1 HT FT	7.00	0:0/2:1 W
01.04.2025	Wycombe – Shrewsbury	X/X HT FT	6.00	0:0/0:0 W
01.04.2025	Wigan – Bolton	X/2 HT FT	5.00	0:0/0:1 W
01.04.2025	Morecambe – Cheltenham	X/1 HT FT	5.50	0:0/2:0 W

Total Odd: 1155.00 | CONGRATULATIONS

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LAST VIP FIXED MATCHES 29.03.2025 SATURDAY

DATE	MATCH	TIP	ODDS	RESULT
29.03.2025	Sundsvall – Helsingborg	X/1 HT FT	7.50	0:0/2:0 W
29.03.2025	Samsunspor – Kasimpasa	X/2 HT FT	7.50	0:0/0:2 W
29.03.2025	Besiktas – Galatasaray	X/1 HT FT	7.00	1:1/2:1 W
29.03.2025	Kolding IF – Fredericia	X/2 HT FT	7.00	0:0/0:1 W

Total Odd: 2756.25 | CONGRATULATIONS

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LAST VIP FIXED MATCHES 22.03.2025 SATURDAY

DATE	MATCH	TIP	ODDS	RESULT
22.03.2025	Peterborough – Charlton	1/1 HT FT	5.00	2:0/3:0 W
22.03.2025	Braintree – York City	X/1 HT FT	9.00	1:1/2:1 W
22.03.2025	Wealdstone – Woking	X/1 HT FT	5.50	0:0/1:0 W
22.03.2025	Skive – Aarhus Fremad	X/1 HT FT	7.50	0:0/1:0 W

Total Odd: 1856.25 | CONGRATULATIONS

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LAST VIP FIXED MATCHES 19.03.2025 WEDNESDAY

DATE	MATCH	TIP	ODDS	RESULT
19.03.2025	Lancy – Koniz	X/X HT FT	7.50	1:1/2:2 W
19.03.2025	Celta Vigo B – Lugo	X/2 HT FT	8.00	0:0/1:2 W
19.03.2025	Zamalek – El Gouna	X/X HT FT	5.00	0:0/1:1 W
19.03.2025	Eswatini – Cameroon	X/X HT FT	6.00	0:0/0:0 W

Total Odd: 1800.00 | CONGRATULATIONS

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LAST VIP FIXED MATCHES 15.03.2025 SATURDAY

DATE	MATCH	TIP	ODDS	RESULT
15.03.2025	Wycombe – Wrexham	X/2 HT FT	7.00	0:0/0:1 W
15.03.2025	Grimsby – Salford	X/2 HT FT	9.00	0:0/0:1 W
15.03.2025	Hamilton – Morton	X/2 HT FT	7.00	0:0/0:2 W
15.03.2025	Blackburn – Cardiff	X/2 HT FT	8.50	1:1/1:2 W

Total Odd: 3748.50 | CONGRATULATIONS

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APRIL 2025

DATE	MATCH	TIP	ODDS	RESULT
01.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
02.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
03.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
04.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
05.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
06.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
07.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
08.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
09.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
10.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
11.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
12.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
13.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
14.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
15.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
16.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
17.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
18.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
19.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
20.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
21.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
22.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
23.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
24.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
25.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
26.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
27.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
28.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
29.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
30.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L
31.04.2025	???????? – ????????	?	?.??	?:? W/L

MARCH 2025

DATE	MATCH	TIP	ODDS	RESULT
01.03.2025	Leeds – West Brom	X	5.00	1:1 W
02.03.2025	Aalborg – FC Copenhagen	X	5.00	0:0 W
03.03.2025	Jong Ajax – Eindhoven FC	2	3.25	0:2 W
04.03.2025	Cardiff – Burnley	2	2.00	1:2 W
05.03.2025	Slaven Belupo – Gorica	X	3.40	1:1 W
06.03.2025	Molde – Legia	1	2.30	3:2 W
07.03.2025	Den Bosch – Cambuur	2	2.10	0:2 W
08.03.2025	Dukla Prague – Teplice	X	3.30	1:1 W
09.03.2025	Antwerp – Gent	2	3.75	0:1 W
10.03.2025	Taborsko – Jihlava	2	5.25	0:1 W
11.03.2025	Cardiff – Luton	2	3.10	1:2 W
12.03.2025	Hansa Rostock – Aue	1	2.10	4:1 W
13.03.2025	Djurgarden – Pafos	1	3.00	3:0 W
14.03.2025	St. Pauli – Hoffenheim	1	2.25	1:0 W
15.03.2025	Blackburn – Cardiff	2	4.20	1:2 W
16.03.2025	Sonderjyske – Aalborg	2	2.80	0:3 W
17.03.2025	Maroons – Police	2	3.50	0:1 W
18.03.2025	Alfreton – Darlington	X	3.40	1:1 W
19.03.2025	Holstein Kiel II – Jeddeloh	X	3.45	1:1 W
20.03.2025	Iraq – Kuwait	X	4.50	2:2 W
21.03.2025	Finn Harps – Bray	1	2.40	5:0 W
22.03.2025	Darlington – Rushall	X	3.70	2:2 W
23.03.2025	Drava – Beltinci	1	5.70	2:1 W
24.03.2025	Germany U20 – Portugal U20	X	3.35	1:1 W
25.03.2025	Boston Utd – Southend	1	3.50	3:0 W
26.03.2025	Opatija – Rudes	X	2.75	1:1 W
27.03.2025	Egnatia – Vllaznia	X	3.25	2:2 W
28.03.2025	Nancy – Le Mans	1	2.30	2:0 W
29.03.2025	B.93 – Koge	X	3.40	2:2 W
30.03.2025	Lyngby – Vejle	2	3.20	1:2 W
31.03.2025	Cadiz CF – Eibar	X	3.00	0:0 W

FEBRUARY 2025

DATE	MATCH	TIP	ODDS	RESULT
01.02.2025	Swansea – Coventry	2	2.60	0:2 W
02.02.2025	Reims – Nantes	2	3.40	1:2 W
03.02.2025	Sheffield Wed U21 – Crewe U21	X	5.85	1:1 W
04.02.2025	Troyes – Brest	2	2.50	1:2 W
05.02.2025	Gostivar – ND Gorica	1	2.20	1:0 W
06.02.2025	Petrolul – FCSB	X	3.10	0:0 W
07.02.2025	MTK Budapest – Debrecen	2	3.60	0:2 W
08.02.2025	Grimsby – Carlisle	1	2.10	2:1 W
09.02.2025	Napoli – Udinese	X	4.20	1:1 W
10.02.2025	Bodrumspor – Goztepe	X	3.00	0:0 W
11.02.2025	Southend – FC Halifax	1	2.10	3:1 W
12.02.2025	Swansea – Sheffield Wed	2	2.60	0:1 W
13.02.2025	Port Vale – Notts Co	1	2.60	1:0 W
14.02.2025	Cambuur – Oss	X	5.25	1:1 W
15.02.2025	Yeovil – Wealdstone	2	2.80	1:2 W
16.02.2025	Frosinone – Reggiana	X	3.00	1:1 W
17.02.2025	Annecy – Caen	1	2.30	1:0 W
18.02.2025	Bayern Munich – Celtic	X	8.00	1:1 W
19.02.2025	Aston Villa – Liverpool	X	4.00	2:2 W
20.02.2025	Bodo/Glimt – Twente	1	2.10	3:2 W
21.02.2025	Hertha Berlin – Nurnberg	X	3.80	0:0 W
22.02.2025	Fulham – Crystal Palace	2	3.60	0:2 W
23.02.2025	Haka – Gnistan	X	3.70	2:2 W
24.02.2025	FC Porto – Vitoria Guimaraes	X	3.50	1:1 W
25.02.2025	Stoke – Middlesbrough	2	2.20	1:3 W
26.02.2025	Slavia Prague – Taborsko	X	9.00	0:0 W
27.02.2025	Plzen – Zlin	X	6.25	1:1 W
28.02.2025	Charleroi – Genk	X	3.30	1:1 W

JANUARY 2025

DATE	MATCH	TIP	ODDS	RESULT
01.01.2025	Sunderland – Sheffield Utd	1	2.10	2:1 W
02.01.2025	Aberdeen – Ross County	2	5.00	1:2 W
03.01.2025	Grenoble – Bastia	1	3.50	3:2 W
04.01.2025	Brighton – Arsenal	X	3.60	1:1 W
05.01.2025	Crewe – Bromley	1	2.30	4:1 W
06.01.2025	Crystal Palace U21 – Fulham U21	2	2.10	0:1 W
07.01.2025	Crusaders – Larne	2	2.10	1:3 W
08.01.2025	Nea Salamis – APOEL	X	3.65	1:1 W
09.01.2025	Paderborn – Plzen	X	3.70	2:2 W
10.01.2025	Wycombe – Portsmouth	1	2.20	2:0 W
11.01.2025	Falkirk – Queen's Park	X	4.20	0:0 W
12.01.2025	Groningen – Almere City	X	3.30	0:0 W
13.01.2025	Real Sociedad – Villarreal	1	2.00	1:0 W
14.01.2025	Bastia – Nice	2	2.00	0:1 W
15.01.2025	Stuttgart – RB Leipzig	1	2.10	2:1 W
16.01.2025	Ath Bilbao – Osasuna	2	6.25	2:3 W
17.01.2025	Montpellier – Monaco	1	5.00	2:1 W
18.01.2025	West Brom – Stoke	X	3.60	1:1 W
19.01.2025	Union Berlin – Mainz	1	2.70	2:1 W
20.01.2025	Troyes – Annecy	2	3.50	0:1 W
21.01.2025	Club Brugge KV – Juventus	X	3.20	0:0 W
22.01.2025	Feyenoord – Bayern Munich	1	8.50	3:0 W
23.01.2025	Modern Sport – Zamalek	1	3.70	1:0 W
24.01.2025	Laval – Troyes	1	2.70	1:0 W
25.01.2025	Huddersfield – Bolton	2	3.25	0:1 W
26.01.2025	Lazio – Fiorentina	2	3.50	1:2 W
27.01.2025	Alaves – Celta Vigo	X	3.10	1:1 W
28.01.2025	Crewe – AFC Wimbledon	X	3.00	1:1 W
29.01.2025	Barcelona – Atalanta	X	4.30	2:2 W
30.01.2025	Braga – Lazio	1	2.40	1:0 W
31.01.2025	Le Mans – Sochaux	X	3.10	1:1 W

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Halftime Fulltime fixed matches Variable odds, variable stakes

The equations and calculator described relying on all bets having the same odds and same stake percentage. How robust will they be under real world scenarios where both may vary? Testing against Monte Carlo simulations reveals that odds can vary considerably without having too much impact on the reliability of the calculator’s outputs. But only provided the stake percentages are all the same. Obviously, that will not be the case with Kelly staking.

The calculator is also robust for variable stake percentages. For example, those advised by the Kelly strategy, provided the odds don’t vary too much. A typical example would be Asian Handicap fixed matches or point spreads, where most odds are close to 1.95, with minimal deviation.

Reliability is weaker when EV for these bet types also varies. But again provided neither the odds nor the EV for those bets varies too much. The calculator offers a reasonable method of providing quick estimates of performance expectation.

We know that defining expectations from level staking is relatively straight forward. However, this article has shown that we can do the same for percentage staking too. Whilst level staking performances will be normally distribute, those from percentage staking are distribute log-normally.

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DATE: 01.04.2025 TUESDAY

League: BULGARIA: Parva liga Start: 17:45

Slavia Sofia – Septemvri Sofia

Pick: 3+ (Over 2.5 Goals) Odd: 2.20

Full Time Results: ? : ?

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DATE: 31.03.2025 MONDAY

League: PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 Start: 19:00

Benfica B – Academico Viseu

Pick: 1 (Home Win) Odd: 2.10

Full Time Results: 1 : 0 WON

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